Started the year off by picking some over/unders.
Win Totals | Jake | Martin | Joe | |
49ers | 6.5 | Under | Under | Over |
Bears | 6.5 | Over | Over | Over |
Bengals | 8.5 | Over | Under | Over |
Bills | 8.5 | Under | Under | Under |
Broncos | 10.5 | Under | Over | Under |
Browns | 6.5 | Under | Under | Over |
Buccaneers | 5.5 | Over | Under | Over |
Cardinals | 8.5 | Over | Under | Over |
Chargers | 8 | Over | Over | Under |
Chiefs | 8.5 | Under | Under | Under |
Colts | 10.5 | Over | Over | Over |
Cowboys | 9.5 | Under | Over | Over |
Dolphins | 8.5 | Over | Under | Over |
Eagles | 9.5 | Over | Under | Under |
Falcons | 8.5 | Under | Under | Under |
Giants | 8.5 | Under | Under | Under |
Jaguars | 5.5 | Under | Under | Over |
Jets | 7.5 | Over | Under | Under |
Lions | 8.5 | Under | Under | Under |
Panthers | 8.5 | Under | Under | Over |
Patriots | 10.5 | Over | Over | Over |
Raiders | 5.5 | Under | Over | Under |
Rams | 7.5 | Under | Under | Over |
Ravens | 8.5 | Under | Over | Over |
Redskins | 6.5 | Under | Under | Under |
Saints | 8.5 | Under | Over | Under |
Seahawks | 11 | Push | Over | Over |
Steelers | 8.5 | Over | Over | Under |
Texans | 8.5 | Under | Under | Over |
Titans | 5.5 | Under | Under | Under |
Vikings | 7.5 | Over | Under | Over |
Packers | 11 | Over | Over | Over |
Total | 19 | 15 | 15 |
AFC:
(1) Denver Broncos
(2) New England Patriots
(3) Cincinnati Bengals
(4) Houston Texans
(5) Kansas City Chiefs
(6) Pittsburgh Steelers
NFC:
(1) Carolina Panthers
(2) Arizona Cardinals
(3) Minnesota Vikings
(4) Washington Redskins
(5) Green Bay Packers
(6) Seattle Seahawks
Wild Card Weekend
(6) Pittsburgh Steelers @ (3) Cincinnati Bengals
I’ve absolutely hated picking this game. The reason its taken me so long to write this update and make my picks is because I’ve been waiting until the last possible moment to make a decision. I love the Brown-Roethlisberger connection but ultimately, that’s all the Steelers have got. No Andy Dalton this week but AJ McCarron has been in big games and knows his limits and what needs to be done to win a game. Bengals D has been good, with a decent run game, Tyler Eifert and AJ Green. Plus they’re at home. Going to commit to my Bengals pick and stick with it. No editing after this goes up.
(5) Kansas City Chiefs @ (4) Houston Texans
Andy Reid gonna Andy Reid? Not yet! I have little to no faith in Andy but Big Red is going to turf those Texans to the curb. Texans have weaselled their way in but KCs defence should be good enough to handle the one Texans player who can make plays. Texans D has also rounded into shape recently but Maclin and Smith have found a nice groove of late, and there’s still Kelce and West to pick up the slack as decent pieces. I’ll still put all my money on Reid to take the first time out of the game though and even if he makes one bonehead time management mistake, I think they’ll have a comfortable enough lead to not let it impact them too much. I still root for Reid and his walrus moustache so I do hope he pulls this one out.
(6) Seattle Seahawks @ (3) Minnesota Vikings
Seahawks smashed the Purple People Eaters in this matchup just two weeks ago and I think the same formula will work. As much as I love Teddy BridgeH20, the Vikes had a total of 31 rushing yards against Seattle along with 94 passing yards. That sucks! All Seattle has to do is stack the box and contain Peterson, and dare Teddy to throw to his kind of rubbishy receivers being manned up by Sherman and Thomas. They’ll turn him into a Teddy Bear…the adorable, cute, harmless kind rather than an actual destructive bear. On the flipside, Jimmy Graham getting hurt was like the best thing to happen to this offense, as Wilson is slinging it around. Love that Tyler Lockett kid they have to go along with Baldwin. Would really help if they had Rawls but Lynch is expected back so that should help balance things out. My BOLD prediction is that they run Lynch and that should help set up the play action…GB.
(5) Green Bay Packers @ (4) Washington Redskins
This one pains me, because I hate all NFC East teams but I think I may actually end up picking Washington in this matchup. They just seem like the ‘hot team’ but also Kirk Cousins combining with Jordan Reed and DeSean Jackson just works. Cousins’ home record has been impressive this year and Aaron Rodgers has been much worse on the road. Not a massive fan of the GB defence but I think Washington’s is a bit underrated. Given that I expected they’d have less than 6.5 wins this year and end up with the 1st overall pick, this has been quite a turnaround.
Divisional Round
AFC
(5) Kansas City Chiefs @ (1) Denver Broncos
This is where Andy Reid gets his Andy Reid on. This is a pretty winnable game for the Chiefs and that’s where Andy Reid just falls on his face. Have very little confidence in Peyton either, but years and years of Andy Reid failures has led me to this point.
(3) Cincinnati Bengals @ (2) New England Patriots
I think Andy Dalton is back for this game, just in time for him to lose against the Patriots. Then cue all the conversation about how Andy Dalton can’t win in the playoffs even though its a ridiculous, overblown narrative because people are obsessed with WINZ without taking anything else into consideration. Looking forward to that argument going on all summer and into next year.
NFC
(4) Washington Redskins @ (2) Arizona Cardinals
Cardinals, easy. They have a really strong home advantage, better coach, better QB, better Defence, better weapons. Move on.
(6) Seattle Seahawks @ (1) Carolina Panthers
Marquee matchup. And it’d be great to watch. Think Carolina has a slight edge over them, their offence and defence is just a bit more ‘together’ than Seattle.
Championship Round
AFC
(2) New England Patriots @ (1) Denver Broncos
Patriots make their return to the Super Bowl. Can’t back a too old Manning in the cold, when he’s looked terrible all year.
NFC
(2) Arizona Cardinals @ (1) Carolina Panthers
Two no.2 seeds make it through to the big game.
Super Bowl
(2) New England Patriots vs. (2) Arizona Cardinals
Arizona with the win. Just got the better balance to their team and their coaching staff, QB and weapons are all enough to hang with the Patriots and take home the Lombardi.