WBEA Baseball Award Season

Ladies & Gentlemen (I’m imagining a world where women are reading this blog), welcome to the 1st annual WBEABAs (Written By An Englishman Baseball Awards)! I think its pronounced Wa-Beebas, although I’m already seeing future problems when we come to the end of the basketball season and I have to think of another acronym. Onwards.

Over a delicious meal and a few pints of beer, myself (Jake Grant) and friend/hopefully soon-to-be guest writer (Will Saunders), hashed out the end of the baseball season and picked our own winners for each of the major awards. Its important to note that these selections do not take into account individual defence, as my analysis extends very little beyond fantasy baseball value at this point. I did at least have an MLB.tv subscription this year, so was able to view these players in their natural environment and beyond the numbers and stock photos of an ESPN page.

Rookie of the Year American League National League
JG Jose Abreu (CWS) Jacob deGrom (NYM)
WS Jose Abreu (CWS) Billy Hamilton (Cin)
Cy Young
JG Felix Hernandez (Sea) Clayton Kershaw (LAD)
WS Corey Kluber (Cle) Clayton Kershaw (LAD)
MVP
JG Mike Trout (LAA) Giancarlo Stanton (Mia)
WS Mike Trout (LAA) Clayton Kershaw (LAD)
Manager of the Year
JG Ned Yost (KC) Matt Williams (Wsh)
WS Buck Showalter (Bal) Don Mattingly (LAD)

Clear breakout candidate for AL ROY is Jose Abreu, gaining the double sign-off from Will and myself. I made the colossal mistake of trading Abreu about two weeks into the year, believing I was ‘selling high’ by getting Chris Tillman in exchange. I believed he would be a sub .250 hitter who would hit 30+ homers but go through hot and cold streaks, a Pedro Alvarez (who was also on my team). Instead, he hit .317 with a .581 slugging percentage and made me sad every time I looked at his player page – like looking at your ex’s Facebook page after you break up even though you know it’s a bad idea. The NL is less clear cut but I went with deGrom over Hamilton. The argument in favour of Hamilton is his whole season, SBs, defence and hitting for slightly more power than expected. That’s fine, but when deGrom pitched, he pitched exceedingly well. How good is your good? deGrom’s was excellent, Hamilton’s good was just good.

I went with King Felix over Kluber for Cy Young. Felix pitched better this year than in his 2010 Cy Young season. Corey Kluber should be renamed Korey Kluber because he gets so many K’s. A 10.27 K/9 for the year. Clayton Kershaw is the unanimous NL selection. Pretty easy, pretty self-explanatory. Move on. Feel bad for Johnny Cueto though. A fully healthy season and he really proved himself. But still around 0.5 points behind Kershaw in ERA.

Another split vote, another unanimous vote for MVP. Mike Trout. As a Phillies fan, I’m counting down the years until he comes home and joins us in 2020. Its about the only thing I have to look forward as a Phillies fan so don’t take it away from me! I lucked into the no.1 pick in a fantasy league this year and thoroughly enjoyed my ride on the Trout Train. Most evenings when I went to bed, he had yet to play and I shut down my laptop excited about what his line could possibly be when I woke up in the morning. I was rarely disappointed. I can’t really add much to the pages and pages of “Mike Trout is a transcendent player” articles out there already on the web, so I’ll just say “Wow!”. I picked Stanton in the NL, mostly because he was a super fun player to watch and everytime he swung, I thought it was going out of the stadium. I’m not one of those “Pitchers can only win Cy Young” guys, but given by previous “How good is your good?” comment, I’m pondering why I didn’t just give this to Kershaw. Move on before I’m forced to seriously reconsider and change my article and carefully constructed tables…

Manager of the Year, another category I know little about. As a relatively new fan of baseball (2-3 years), I’m still trying to work out the value of a manager beyond picking the batting order, showing up every night and giving encouraging words to your guys to give 110% and “just have fun out there”, etc. I realise there’s tactics involved with other sorts of decisions but it seems far less important a position than in other major sports. When I used to pick winners for Manager of the Year for other sports I followed, I tended to eschew the League Winner = Best Manager narrative as much as possible, preferring to look at expectations vs. results and who did what with less. That mostly feeds in to my pick of Ned Yost of KC, constructing the best bullpen in baseball with Wade Davis and Greg Holland, an incredible OF defence (second mention of defence!) and the Royals’ first playoff berth since before I was even born. Becoming the first team in MLB history to make the playoffs while finishing last in the majors in Homer Runs and Walks is an incredible and downright absurd achievement, but hey, whatever works. You go Yost! Granted he still has to win a Wild Card game to really make the playoffs but I’m a believer. And now, to contrast everything I just wrote in this paragraph, my second Manager of the Year award goes to the guy with the best record in the NL…Matt Williams. Further, my logic behind it is that he had the best record in the NL! Sigh. Apparently, I love contradicting myself within the same article and within the same paragraph.

Silver Slugger (JG) American League National League
C Yan Gomes (Cle) Buster Posey (SF)
1B Jose Abreu (CWS) Anthony Rizzo (ChC)
2B Jose Altuve (Hou) Anthony Rendon (Wsh)
3B Miguel Cabrera (Det) Todd Frazier (Cin)
SS Jose Reyes (Tor) Ian Desmond (Wsh)
OF1 Mike Trout (LAA) Giancarlo Stanton (Mia)
OF2 Michael Brantley (Cle) Andrew McCutcheon (Pit)
OF3 Jose Bautista (Tor) Hunter Pence (SF)
DH/Pitcher Nelson Cruz (Bal) Cole Hamels (Phi)
Silver Slugger (WS) American League National League
C Yan Gomes (Cle) Buster Posey (SF)
1B Victor Martinez (Det) Adrian Gonzalez (LAD)
2B Robinson Cano (Sea) Dee Gordon (LAD)
3B Miguel Cabrera (Det) Anthony Rendon (Wsh)
SS Jose Reyes (Tor) Hanley Ramirez (LAD)
OF1 Mike Trout (LAA) Giancarlo Stanton (Mia)
OF2 Michael Brantley (Cle) Andrew McCutcheon (Pit)
OF3 Jose Bautista (Tor) Jayson Werth (Wsh)
DH/Pitcher David Ortiz (Bos) Adam Wainwright (StL)

As previously mentioned, I have little inclination when it comes to baseball defence, so will have to forgo the whole Golden Glove category. But then again, Derek Jeter was awarded 4 of them and Kobe Bryant consistently gets voted on All-defence teams so it seems no one else knows anything about defence either. Instead, I just rolled with some Silver Slugger offense picks instead. Reading through Will’s picks, seems like he’s a closet Dodgers fan..Hanley Ramirez…come on?!

To cherry pick a few selections: Anthony Rendon was an absolute hero this year and genuinely could have been an MVP candidate, emerging as a top-2 2B and 3B. I listed him under 2B so I could squeeze in another emergent star, Todd Frazier, who “put it all together” in the words of some cliched sports announcer somewhere. Ian Desmond puts together another 20/20 season and while the average wasn’t quite there (.255), that’s the best you’re getting from the SS position. Just look at the counterpart in the AL, is there really no one better to pick than Jose Reyes?! I couldn’t name anyone. Would love to give this to Troy Tulowitzki one year but for 1) stay healthy and b) playing in Colorado is like having a cheat code.

Happy to see Altuve walk home with the batting title, incredible stuff. Be interesting to see whether Houston ships him out of town because they think they’re getting too good. Michael Brantley with a “Wow” season. I was high on Nelson Cruz coming into this year and he rewarded my faith by leading the league in homers. He hit 27 in 413 ABs in 2013, before he was suspended for PEDs but you had to imagine he was off them while undergoing the investigation for taking PEDs, so I wasn’t too concerned that he was relying on them for power. Plus the fact he was on a 1-year ‘show me’ deal means he had every incentive to play his ass off. Wait a minute…every incentive…big money contract…leading the majors in HRs….previously suspended in biogenesis scandal…lets just say I won’t be surprised if another scandal emerges shortly after he gets a contract extension. Cole Hamels was my choice for pitcher…I really had no idea here but felt sorry for Hamels putting together a sub-2.50 ERA season and ending up with a 9-9 win-loss record. Poor dude.

After dinner and beers were consumed, we turned our attention to the playoffs and World Series. Prediction:

Washington Nationals over Detroit Tigers.

Hard to look past both in terms of a balance between pitching rotation and quality bats.

Strasburg-Zimmerman-Fister (in revenge mode)-Gonzalez-Roark is the best rotation out there and it helps that I went to one of their games earlier this year so I’m not being entirely logical. Washington last won the World Series in 1924, and 90 years later, I expect them to win it again.

Thanks for coming, you’ve been wonderful!

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The Story That Keeps On Giving

Today Bill Simmons was suspended for 3 weeks by ESPN for calling out Roger Goodell for his “fucking bullshit” on a podcast regarding his handling of the Ray Rice situation. It happens to be a podcast I listen to every week and while Simmons can also drive me crazy with his homerism, I must profess that his suspension is “fucking bullshit”.

Without getting into the whole Ray Rice issue again, I think it’s worth pointing out that First Take presenter/host/troll king/relentless moron Stephen A Smith was also suspended back in August 2014 for comments he made that suggested that women were to blame for domestic violence. He then tried to apologise for it and during the process of apologising, accused women again of inciting violence against themselves. A classic mistake! Its the age old ‘women shouldn’t dress provocatively’ defence. For anyone who’s interested in his apology:

But what about addressing women on how they can help prevent the obvious wrong being done upon them? In no way was I accusing women of being wrong. I was simply saying what that preventive measures always need to be addressed because there’s only but so much that can be done after the fact … once the damage is already done.

After these words of wisdom, Smith was suspended for 1 week. So, for those counting at home; 3 weeks for calling the commissioner of the NFL a liar, 1 week for accusing women of domestic violence. I’m sure ESPN would cite the 2-3 times in the past where they’ve suspended Simmons for similar infractions but they must realise the symbolism of what they’ve done. We just went through this with Rice’s 2 game ban vs. Josh Gordon’s season ban for marijuana. Simply put, Simmons’ suspension comes down to the USD15bn ESPN-NFL relationship vs. the promotion of women’s issues.

I hope this is the last time I have to address this saga, it has certainly thrown up a lot of#HotTakes but this is getting out of control. Of course, as I write this and check Twitter at the same time – Jeff Taylor of the Charlotte Hornets has been arrested for…domestic abuse! Good job there Jeff. Watch now as Adam Silver and the rest of the NBA come down on him to make a statement. It helps that he’s not a star, plays for the Charlotte née-Bobcats and people barely know who he is. They could run him out of the league and no one would care.

As an Eagles fan, I’m hoping for both teams to somehow lose tonight in the NY Giants @ Washington Football Team game. I’ll be interested to see if Giants can get pressure on Kirk Cousins and to see how he plays. Last week he had all the time in the world to throw the ball all over the field, with the Eagles’ cornerbacks playing about 10 yards off the receivers on every play. Washington might be shaping up to be a good team with Cousins, and he seems to fit Jay Gruden’s system better. Too early to tell at the moment but it unfortunately looks positive for Washington in that regard. I’m picking Washington (-3.5), because they’re at home and these Thursday night games usually mean a blowout. It’ll either be NY by 10 or Washington by 10, not anywhere near the spread. My heart is hoping for a tie and for Chris Baker to beaten up all night by the Giants O-line.

In the mean time, let’s get away from this domestic violence nonsense and support Emma Watson’s HeForShe campaign.

http://www.heforshe.org/#take-action

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Thursday Night Football

I like Tampa (+7) against Atlanta tonight. I’d feel better about this line if Clayborn and McCoy were playing but still, Tampa could be 2-0 at this point, if not for some terrible QB play of Josh McCown and a dropped pick-6. Bobby Rainey playing RB tonight might actually benefit Tampa as Doug Martin has looked out of sorts.

I don’t necessarily think TB is as bad as its been so far, but they certainly haven’t been as good as my pre-season projections.

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Questions With The Wrong Answers

There’s not much to add to the out of control Ray Rice story that a million people haven’t said already. It’s one of the few occasions where sports crosses into the mainstream and even rarer than that, everyone shares the same view on the subject. Everyone except Ray Rice and Roger Goodell that is.

There are two things that unsettle me from this series of events and are moral dilemmas that I can’t get my head around.

1. After all the events of the past week or so, I’m still going to tune in on Sunday at 6pm sharp and look forward to an evening of football. Millions of people around the world will do the same thing, despite their aversions to Ray Rice, Roger Goodell and the culture of protecting the integrity of a league which has no integrity. Javon Belcher, Terrell Suggs, Greg Hardy, Donte Stallworth, Josh Brent. That list includes murderers, DUI killers and alleged domestic violence perpetrators. The Belcher story in particular is horrifying and yet the fallout lasted a week and everyone got on with their lives. Josh Brent was found guilty of intoxication manslaughter in Jan 2014, killing his teammate as he crashed a car while driving at 110mph in a 45mph zone. But of course, he’d already been driving under the influence back in 2009. He’s also tested positive TWICE for marijuana while on parole/in jail since the car crash with his teammate in December 2012. Oh and by the way, he was driving with a suspended and expired driving licence. He’s signed to the Dallas Cowboys reserve list and received a suspension for the first 10 games of the 2014. So week 11, he could be back on the field. Either way, I’ll still hate the Cowboys and I’ll still watch football.

2. Second chances. Does everyone deserve a second chance? I don’t honestly know the answer to that. I look at Michael Vick, who is still one of the most hated athletes in US sports today. He was given a second chance and has parlayed that into making a difference. Some people will never forgive him, and I understand that. But he’s also kept entirely on the straight and narrow since he was released from jail and become a model for second chances in the league. Will Ray Rice be given a second chance? I’d be more surprised if Ray Rice never plays football again, than if he does. Obviously it may be a year or so down the line but some team will bring him in to the practice squad and kick the tires on him.

Right now, I’ll tell you that he doesn’t deserve a second chance. I’d like to see some remorse from the guy but he has not shown an ounce of it thus far. Take a look at some of the quotes from his press conference after the event:

I want to first off apologize to [owner] Steve Bisciotti, [general manager and executive vice president] Ozzie Newsome and [head] coach [John] Harbaugh, and I also want to apologize to my fans, to the kids, to everyone who was affected by this situation that me and my wife were in.” 

I’m sorry Ray, what “situation” is it that you AND your wife are in exactly?! The “situation” where you, a person who spends their entire job getting bigger and stronger, punch a woman in the face and knock her out cold. Is that the “situation”? In the first part of his statement, he actually says that he usually gives conferences off the top of his head but this time, wrote his thoughts down. So his thought out apology is one of the most crass and insincere apologies of all time. It’s an insult to apologies everywhere to call that an apology. But then he takes it one step further with this:

But I won’t call myself a failure. Failure is not getting knocked down; it’s not getting up.” 

Unforgivable and thoroughly insensitive choice of words. Would you call your wife a failure because she was unable to stand after you knocked her unconscious and had to drag her lifeless body out of the elevator to your hotel room? Show some remorse and accept responsibility for your actions, you spineless coward.

Roger Goodell likes to use the phrase “protect the shield” in reference to how he protects the “integrity” of the NFL. Why exactly does one need to protect a shield, isn’t a shield a protective device in itself? No one brings a shield into battle and then uses another shield to protect the original one. He’s bungled so many decisions now, he’s out of control. From 18 game schedules, to Thursday night games, to expanded playoffs, the handling of player punishment. This might be the only time ‘protect the shield’ is relevant, because he’s going to require a shield protecting another shield to save himself from the disgrace he’s caused himself.

And yet, they’ll both continue on as if nothing has happened. Will Goodell step down? Earning $44mn a year and bringing millions/billions to the owners he represents, presents a strong case that nothing will change and he’ll continue to squeeze every cent out of the players and fans that he can. Will Ray Rice be given a second chance by a team? I’m sure he will once his suspension is lifted.

Nothing changes in the NFL in spite of the disgrace Goodell, Rice, Brent, Suggs, Hardy, Stallworth, etc have brought to the league.

And on Sunday at 6pm, I’ll still be watching and I can’t tell you why.

Pittsburgh (+3) tonight over Baltimore.

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Crystal Ball Time

Time to make relatively unfounded predictions for the year. I printed off the entire schedule for the year and went through to project every result, finishing with eventual divisional winners, playoffs and a Super Bowl champion, which I already mentioned in the previous post. What I believed would be a 30 minute job, turned into roughly 3 hours of work – 512 games, picking 256 winners. While I started off thinking about each game in detail, by the end I was over it and guessing wildly. Particularly the AFC North division which I have no feel for whatsoever. 

Here we go:

NFC North Wins   AFC North Wins
Green Bay 13   Baltimore 11
Chicago 11   Cincinnati 11
Minnesota 9   Pittsburgh 10
Detroit 6   Cleveland 3
         
NFC East     AFC East  
Philadelphia 10   New England 11
New York G 8   New York J 5
Dallas 6   Miami 4
Washington 3   Buffalo 3
         
NFC South     AFC South  
New Orleans 11   Indianapolis 9
Tampa Bay 9   Houston 8
Atlanta 6   Jacksonville 7
Carolina 5   Tennessee 4
         
NFC West     AFC West  
Seattle 13   Denver 13
Arizona 10   San Diego 11
San Francisco 9   Kansas City 7
St Louis 7   Oakland 3

I ended up with the following playoff teams and seeds. I feel unconfident about most, if not all, of these picks. 

 

Seed NFC Seeds AFC Seeds
1 Seattle Denver
2 Green Bay Cinncinnati
3 New Orleans New England
4 Philadelphia Indianapolis
5 Chicago San Diego
6 Arizona Baltimore

Seattle to win it all again. 

BOOM

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Inauguration Ceremony

7 months ago the NFL season ended, talking points erupted over a number of issues and I had a lot of thoughts on this.

6 months ago I created this blog, paid £20 to register the website and wrote a post entitled ‘Test’…nothing else.

5 months ago I had a fantasy baseball draft and the season started.

4 months ago nothing much happened, to be fair.

3 months ago the NBA Finals.

2 months ago dead quiet.

1 month ago….meh.

In just over 2 hours, the NFL season kicks off and despite all the time elucidated above, I have left my opening post to the last possible minute. My intention had been to write a dedicated season preview but it looks like I’ll have to pass in favour of a roughshod post at 11pm to give my prediction for tonight’s opening game.

Quite simply, I’m taking Seattle (-6) over Green Bay. I can’t look past a Seattle Super Bowl repeat, and anytime Seattle are at home, I’m favouring them whatever the points spread. Unlike the past few years where we’ve had ‘hot’ teams make a surprising run to a championship, Seattle and Denver were expected to meet in the Super Bowl back in August 2013. The Giants and Ravens were never dominant teams and they lost a bunch of key guys to age, free agency, injuries in the aftermath of their victory. Seattle returns just as a strong, with Russell Wilson still on his rookie contract and the core gang back together. Specifically to this game, that 12th man crowd is going to be ready after 7 months and the Packers D won’t hold up.

Poor baseball. About to become irrelevant as the NFL kicks into gear. They’re not even trying to compete tonight and have about 5 games on the schedule. Fortunately, I’m still rooting for my fantasy baseball teams, so lets go Scherzer tonight @ Cleveland!

 

 

 

 

 

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Common Sense For American Sports

Perhaps the sentiments contained in the following blog, are not yet sufficiently fashionable to procure them general favour; a long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right, and raises at first a formidable outcry in defence of custom. But tumult soon subsides. Time makes more converts than reason.

If Thomas Paine were alive today, he’d be a Philadelphia Eagles, Philadelphia Phillies and Philadelphia 76ers fan and he’d be sad that his city had never won a Super Bowl. In 1776, he published Common Sense, a strong defence of American Independence from England. The Common Sense pamphlet was so popular that as a percentage of the population, it was read by or read to more people than today watch the Super Bowl. That it was written by an Englishman brought a unique perspective to American thought at the time and ushered in centuries of growth and prosperity (for some at least and ignoring centuries of slavery, terrible race relations and proxy wars in far off countries).

More importantly for my purposes, Common Sense eventually brought about the creation of new sports, which much like the ignoble creations of McDonalds, KFC and Wal-Mart, have permeated markets outside of its borders, landing on the shores of the UK. As an Englishman who has emigrated his sporting interests to the NFL, the NBA and the MLB, I will provide my own uniquely English perspective on typically American sporting issues and events, although without the blessing of wonderfully written prose and/or any semblance of an audience, likely until such time when I get bored and give up.

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